Will his Ryder Cup performance help Paul Casey win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am

PGA Tour AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am leaderboard https://www.pgatour.com/competition/2019/at-t-pebble-beach-pro-am/leaderboard.html

Firstly, the all important weather forecast for Carmel Bay today calls for rain showers this morning dissipating to an overcast cool afternoon, 49*f the high, winds anywhere from 10-20mph NW.

The third round is all done, play is underway today, with Paul Casey who posted a -5 67 on Spyglass yesterday, and quietly built a 3 shot lead at -15 over Phil Mickelson going into the final round of this AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Mickelson is looking to tie Mark O'Meara's 5 wins here today and he is at his entertaining best in this weather on this course. He mixed sensational shot making, with errant drives and missed short putts on his way to -2 70 -12 total. 

Now the question is, can this most affable Englishman, Casey, who has never won in his three previous times with a 54-hole lead on the PGA Tour hang in there today for the win ? I say he can.

In the last three years in this position he's laid an egg on Sunday averaging rounds of +2 or worse. I've interviewed Paul several times on his trips to Canada, he is very polite, a perfect gentleman, extremely talented, probably has never fulfilled his enormous potential partially due to injury.

He starts the day playing as Phil's straight man and there are others within striking distance including Jason Day at -9.

However I think that several things have changed. One, he was put under the gun at last year's Ryder Cup after being a captain's pick and was solid getting 2/3 points including a halve with Brooks Koepka in Europe's runaway win.  Phil on the other hand wasn't very good, to say the least.

Secondly, he hasn't played here in 16 years and relates their are two reasons he loves to play here. “One is the weather. If you have great weather, this is one of the best places on the planet. And two, if you have the right partner, it can be wonderful. I can at least guarantee one of those elements.”

He is playing with Don Colleran, of FedEx, and they have a 4 shot, lead in the pro-am and the weather will be decent, you could say very English, so those may factor in his favour as well.

Adam Hadwin (65) is the top Canadian at -8 T14th. Nick Taylor (71) and Ben Silverman (69) are -5.

Mackenzie Hughes (78),  Adam Svensson (72), Corey Conners (70), David Hearn (79) and Roger Sloan (76) all missed the cut.

Bryan Angus